Industrial Sector: Natural Gas
Comparison of Individual Differences With Total Effect
Variable # 1
Table #2 Energy Consumption by Sector and
Source (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector and Source Industrial 4/: Natural Gas
Year
INHGP07.0915a
INLEP07.0915a
INLMFD07.0913a Sum of Diffs Total Diff Sum/Total
2010
-.2043819 -.050941 -.5633612 -.8186841 -.7564602 1.082257
2011
-.2353382 -.076129 -.546505 -.8579721 -.7643151 1.122537
2012
-.2579117 -.093267 -.5256701 -.8768488 -.7682939 1.141293
2013
-.2918172 -.1235032 -.5313849 -.9467053 -.8003821 1.182817
2014
-.3071871 -.135633 -.521791 -.9646111 -.8152199 1.183253
2015
-.3153772 -.1419439 -.511816 -.9691371 -.8295102 1.168324
2016
-.3595753 -.1842833 -.5355749 -1.079433 -.8791742 1.227781
2017
-.3819618 -.2054968 -.5362458 -1.123704 -.9046307 1.242169
2018
-.4041934 -.228724 -.5412941 -1.174212 -.936975 1.253194
2019
-.4221878 -.2643638 -.5610151 -1.247567 -.968153 1.288605
2020
-.429893 -.2767591 -.554378 -1.26103 -.9870849 1.277529
2021 -.4842529 -.3287001 -.5881119 -1.401065 -1.055383 1.327541
2022
-.5158167 -.3636799 -.6029229 -1.482419 -1.097319 1.350947
2023
-.5524731 -.3969741 -.6147399 -1.564187 -1.14174 1.370003
2024
-.5807614 -.4223251 -.6201906 -1.623277 -1.179133 1.37667
2025
-.6225567 -.4627085 -.6398382 -1.725103 -1.231837 1.400431
2026
-.6584206 -.4947586 -.6523519 -1.805531 -1.279492 1.411131
2027
-.6919122 -.5246162 -.6613865 -1.877915 -1.322736 1.41972
2028
-.7381048 -.5579367 -.6729774 -1.969019 -1.376885 1.430053
2029
-.78722 -.5940599 -.6882334 -2.069513 -1.434548 1.442624
2030
-.8131294 -.6154242 -.6886168 -2.11717
-1.471696 1.438592
Endogenous Variable:
Table #2 Energy Consumption by Sector and Source
(quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector and Source Industrial
4/: Natural Gas
Exogenous Variables:
# 1) Table #3 Energy Prices by Sector and
Source (2005 dollars per million Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector
and Source Industrial 1/: Natural Gas 2/
# 2) Table #3 Energy Prices by Sector and
Source (2005 dollars per million Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector and Source Industrial
1/: Electricity
# 3) Table #6 Industrial Sector Key
Indicators and Consumption
Value of Shipments (billion 2000
dollars): Total
# 4) Lagged Table #2 Energy Consumption by
Sector and Source (quadrillion Btu, unless otherwise noted)
Sector and Source Industrial
4/: Natural Gas
Exogenous
Variable Mean Coefficient Elasticity t-statistic
Variable# 1 5.88671 -.130783 -.097041 -7.68417
Variable# 2 16.93049 .030837 .065807 6.44111
Variable# 3 6661.194 .000482 .404697 8.494977
Variable# 4 7.854556 .32526 .32202 4.2469
Constant
2.415911
Endogenous Mean SER R-sq LR-Multiplier
Variable 7.933583 .169992 .891429 1.48205234608886
Industrial Sector Scenarios
|
Filename |
Electricity Price +/- 25% |
Natural Gas Price +/-25% |
Value of Shipments1 +/-10% |
|
Base |
B |
B |
B |
|
INHEP07 |
H |
B |
B |
|
INHGP07 |
B |
H |
B |
|
INHMFD07 |
B |
B |
H |
|
INLEP07 |
L |
B |
B |
|
INLGP07 |
B |
L |
B |
|
INLMFD07 |
B |
B |
L |
|
INHALL07 |
H |
H |
H |
|
INLALL07 |
L |
L |
L |
|
INSCEN107 |
H |
H |
B |
|
INSCEN207 |
H |
H |
L |
|
INSCEN307 |
L |
H |
B |
|
INSCEN407 |
L |
H |
L |
|
INSCEN507 |
L |
H |
H |
|
INSCEN607 |
H |
L |
B |
|
INSCEN707
|
H |
L |
L |
|
INSCEN807 |
H |
L |
H |
|
INSCEN907 |
L |
L |
B |
|
INSCENX07 |
L |
L |
H |
1Total
manufacturing and nonmanufacturing reported in ftab
Table #6 .
“H” = high variation, “L” = low variation, “B” = AEO2007 Base Case